FBC Melgar vs. Ayacucho FC Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 17 August 2025

With FBC Melgar set to face Ayacucho FC in the Primera Division on 17 August 2025 at 21:00, football fans can expect an intriguing match despite both teams languishing in the lower half of the table. Melgar is currently 13th with 5 points, while Ayacucho sits 16th with 4 points.
Melgar has been struggling to find form in recent matches, having not won in four consecutive league games. However, they are still considered the favorites according to bookmakers, with odds of 1.28 for a home victory.
Ayacucho FC has also been inconsistent but struggled particularly away from home, conceding 1.4 goals on average this season. Their defense will be tested against Melgar’s attack, which includes top scorer Jhonny Vidales.
Clearly, Melgar’s superior form and home advantage make them the favorites. The recommended bet here is a -1.50 Asian Handicap for Melgar to capitalize on Ayacucho’s defensive frailties and potentially secure a decisive win.

FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC Prediction & Betting Tip

For the upcoming clash between FBC Melgar and Ayacucho FC, the recommended betting tip is to opt for Melgar with a -1.50 Asian Handicap. Given Melgar’s superior form and home advantage, this bet stands out as a prudent choice.

• Melgar’s attacking prowess could lead to multiple goals, especially as Ayacucho struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match.
• Melgar has scored in 83% of their matches this season, indicating strong offensive capabilities.
• Despite recent struggles, Melgar remains a bookmaker favorite with odds of 1.28 for a home win, highlighting their edge.

This recommended bet is reinforced by Melgar’s ability to capitalize on Ayacucho’s defensive frailties, setting the stage for a potential decisive victory.

FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC Odds

As we gear up for the match between FBC Melgar and Ayacucho FC, it’s clear that Melgar is the heavy favorite. With odds significantly favoring the home team, bettors are leaning heavily towards a Melgar victory.

These odds reflect Melgar’s superior form and home advantage, even though they find themselves in 13th place, just marginally ahead of Ayacucho, who sit 16th.
A few key points to consider:

• Melgar has been more consistent in finding the net, scoring in 83% of their matches this season.
• Ayacucho has been leaky in defense, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match.
• Despite Melgar’s recent struggles, their stronger squad and home crowd support give them the edge, as reflected in their favorable odds.

FBC Melgar Team Analysis

FBC Melgar Recent Performance

FBC Melgar’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games yielding just one win, two draws, and two losses. Here’s a snapshot of their recent games:

• Sporting Cristal 1 – 0 FBC Melgar
• FBC Melgar 1 – 1 ADC Juan Pablo II
• Alianza Atletico 0 – 0 FBC Melgar
• FBC Melgar 0 – 2 Cusco FC
• CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 2 FBC Melgar

With an average of 0.60 goals scored per game in their last five matches and a single clean sheet, Melgar’s attack has struggled to find consistency. Despite this, they have managed to score in 83% of their matches this season, which showcases their potential to find the net. However, conceding an average of one goal per match underscores the need for a more robust defense. Their position of 13th on the table with 5 points reveals plenty of room for improvement.

FBC Melgar Key Players

FBC Melgar’s key player to watch in this match will be Jhonny Vidales, their top scorer with one goal this season. Vidales’ ability to find the back of the net can be crucial given Melgar’s average goal-scoring troubles. Forward Bernardo Cuesta is another pivotal player, expected to lead the line.
A potential key battle on the pitch could be Vidales and Cuesta against Ayacucho FC’s central defenders, Brackson León and José Ataupillco.

Expected lineup for FBC Melgar:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Enrique Caceda
• Defenders: Matias Lazo, Pier Barrios, Alec Deneumostier, Mathias Llontop
• Midfielders: Horacio Orzan, Walter Tandazo, Tomas Martinez
• Forwards: Cristian Bordacahar, Bernardo Cuesta, Johnny Vidales

Watch for Tomas Martinez in the midfield, as his creativity could unlock a fragile Ayacucho defense.

FBC Melgar Suspensions & Injuries

FBC Melgar will be missing a crucial defensive asset due to suspension. Leonel Gonzalez is currently serving a ban following a yellow/red card incident, and his absence could leave a significant gap in Melgar’s defense. Considering Melgar has conceded an average of one goal per match this season, Gonzalez’s absence might strain their defensive setup even further.
The team is otherwise free from injuries, which means coach Víctor Balta can count on a nearly full-strength squad. This could help mitigate Gonzalez’s absence as other defenders will need to step up to maintain a solid backline.
Balta’s side will need to be vigilant and adapt their defensive strategies to ensure they don’t slip up against Ayacucho FC.

FBC Melgar Tactics and Formation

FBC Melgar Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Johnny Vidales
• Midfield Trio: Horacio Orzan, Walter Tandazo, Tomas Martinez
• Defensive Setup: Pier Barrios and Alec Deneumostier form the center-back partnership
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play and rapid transitions

FBC Melgar typically line up in a 4-3-3 formation, allowing them to balance between attack and defense effectively. With Vidales on the left wing and Cuesta centrally, they are well-positioned to trouble Ayacucho’s defense.
In midfield, Orzan and Tandazo offer defensive cover, while Martinez pulls strings in the attacking third. The team’s defense will miss Gonzalez due to suspension, so extra responsibilities fall to Barrios and Deneumostier.
Caceda in goal provides a reliable last line of defense. Expect Melgar to leverage their strength in wide areas and exploit Ayacucho’s defensive vulnerabilities early on.

Ayacucho FC Team Analysis

Ayacucho FC Recent Performance

Ayacucho FC’s recent run of form has been quite inconsistent, with their last five matches showing one win, one draw, and three losses. Here’s a snapshot of their recent games:

• Ayacucho FC 0 – 1 Alianza Lima
• Sport Huancayo 3 – 1 Ayacucho FC
• Ayacucho FC 0 – 0 Sport Boys
• Alianza Universidad 1 – 2 Ayacucho FC
• Ayacucho FC 1 – 2 Atletico Grau

Ayacucho’s average goals scored in these matches stand at 0.80, which reflects their struggle to impact offensively. Their lone clean sheet in the last five matches came against Sport Boys, illustrating the defensive challenges they have faced.
Sitting in 16th place with 4 points, Ayacucho will need to shore up their defense considerably if they aim to move up the standings. Additionally, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game puts them at a disadvantage, especially against a team like Melgar.

Ayacucho FC Key Players

Ayacucho FC relies heavily on the contributions of their top scorer Maximiliano Perez, who has netted 2 goals this season. Perez’s ability to finish, combined with his strength in leading the line, makes him a key figure going into this match. Forward Derlis Orue and Jean Pier Vilchez in the midfield are also crucial in providing creativity and support.
A key individual battle to watch will be Perez against Melgar’s defenders Pier Barrios and Alec Deneumostier. Success in this matchup could greatly influence the outcome of the game.

Expected lineup for Ayacucho FC:

• Goalkeeper: Juan Valencia
• Defenders: Jean Franco Falconi, Brackson León, José Ataupillco, Alonso Yovera
• Midfielders: Hideyoshi Arakaki, Jonathan Bilbao, Jean Pier Vílchez
• Forwards: Derlis Ricardo Orue Acevedo, Maximiliano Pérez, Dylan Caro

Perez’s performance will be crucial against a formidable Melgar defense, and the midfield’s ability to control the game could be the difference-maker.

Ayacucho FC Suspensions & Injuries

Ayacucho FC is facing a challenging situation with a few players potentially sidelined due to injuries. The team will likely miss Royer Salcedo, Marvin Ríos, and Kenyi Barrios, all suffering from muscle injuries and doubtful for the upcoming match. Additionally, Gustavo Loayza is out with a foot injury and is expected to return by late August 2025.
These absences could significantly weaken Ayacucho’s squad depth and defensive capabilities. The injuries, especially in the midfield and defense, might force coach Sergio Castellanos to adjust his tactics and rely on less experienced players to fill the gaps.
Without key players, Ayacucho will have to work collectively to cover these deficiencies and put up a resilient fight against FBC Melgar.

Ayacucho FC Tactics and Formation

Ayacucho FC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Maximiliano Pérez
• Midfield Trio: Hideyoshi Arakaki, Jonathan Bilbao, Jean Pier Vílchez
• Defensive Setup: Jean Franco Falconi, Brackson León, José Ataupillco, Alonso Yovera
• Notable Strategy: Maintaining a compact defense and leveraging quick counter-attacks

Ayacucho FC often fields a 4-3-3 formation, with Pérez spearheading the attack. He is supported by wings and creative midfielders like Arakaki and Vílchez who provide the necessary service and link-up play.
The defensive quartet, led by León, will be pivotal, especially given Ayacucho’s average concession of 1.4 goals per match.
Coach Sergio Castellanos might emphasize a compact defensive strategy and rely on quick counter-attacks to exploit any gaps left by Melgar, hoping to capitalize on Pérez’s finishing abilities upfront.

FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC Head-to-Head Statistics

FBC Melgar and Ayacucho FC have a well-documented history against each other, with five encounters between the teams showcasing FBC Melgar’s dominance. Here’s a breakdown of their recent head-to-head clashes:

• Ayacucho FC 2 – 3 FBC Melgar (27 March 2025, Liga 1 Apertura)
• FBC Melgar 3 – 0 Ayacucho FC (9 October 2022, Liga 1 Clausura)
• Ayacucho FC 0 – 1 FBC Melgar (22 May 2022, Liga 1 Apertura)
• FBC Melgar 1 – 1 Ayacucho FC (17 September 2021, Liga 1 – Fase 2)
• FBC Melgar 0 – 0 Ayacucho FC (12 April 2021, Liga 1 – Fase 1)

FBC Melgar has come out on top in four of these matchups, demonstrating their upper hand. Ayacucho’s most recent loss in March 2025 was a closely contested match, but Melgar once again emerged victorious.
Melgar’s offensive strength has frequently overpowered Ayacucho’s defense, indicating that they can effectively exploit their opponents’ vulnerabilities in this upcoming clash as well.

Odds accurate as of 15/08/2025 21:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.