The first set between Luca Nardi and Carlos Alcaraz is likely to exceed 8.5 games. Alcaraz, known for his aggressive baseline play, will push rallies, while Nardi has shown resilience against top opponents. Historically, matches involving Alcaraz feature extended first sets as he starts strong but sometimes drops games early. Nardi’s ability to hold serve under pressure increases the likelihood of a back-and-forth opening set. Considering both players’ offensive styles and first-set tendencies, betting on Over 8.5 games offers value at 1.67.